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Home Research Guides Technical Analysis The Rise of Crypto Options: Early Implied Volatility and Deribit Open Interest
Technical Analysis

The Rise of Crypto Options: Early Implied Volatility and Deribit Open Interest

Dr. Marcus Vance, CFA, CMT
Chief Market Strategist
8 min read July 15, 2019
Executive Brief & Key Findings
How crypto options evolved from illiquid custom contracts into a multi-billion dollar institutional derivatives market.
Fact-checked & verified by Quantitative Crypto Research Desk Topic: Technical Analysis
The Rise of Crypto Options: Early Implied Volatility and Deribit Open Interest
Quantitative Research Desk Technical Analysis

Key Quantitative Takeaways

  • Deribit pioneered liquid, continuous Bitcoin options order books with coin-margined collateral settlement in 2016–2019.
  • Early crypto options exhibited massive implied volatility (IV) premiums, often exceeding 120% annualized.
  • Institutional market makers used delta hedging to trade implied volatility spreads against spot market movements.
  • Options Open Interest became a leading indicator of where spot prices would consolidate ahead of quarterly expirations.

Crypto options are derivative contracts that give a trader the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a set price by a set date, and they evolved from a fragmented, illiquid corner of the market before 2019 into a multi-billion dollar segment once exchanges like Deribit built proper risk infrastructure around them.

Before options had real liquidity

Prior to 2019, crypto derivatives activity was concentrated almost entirely in spot margin trading and perpetual futures. Options existed but traded in small, custom over-the-counter deals with wide spreads and little standardization. Deribit changed that by introducing European-style, cash-settled options alongside a real-time portfolio margin system and a dynamic risk engine, which made it practical for market makers to quote tighter prices at meaningful size.

How growing open interest started to move spot

As total options open interest pushed past $1 billion, the market makers on the other side of those trades began actively hedging their exposure, known as gamma, in the spot and perpetual futures markets. That hedging activity produced a new observable pattern: spot price would drift toward the strike prices with the heaviest open interest as monthly expiration approached, an effect traders started calling pinning.

What this means for a trader today

Tracking Deribit's total open interest gives a rough read on how much institutional capital is positioned in options at any given time, and unusually large concentrations near a monthly expiration can hint at reduced volatility in the days beforehand as pinning effects take hold. Comparing implied volatility against recent realized (historical) volatility, often summarized as IV rank, also helps determine whether option premiums currently look expensive or cheap relative to how the underlying has actually been moving.

  • Track Deribit total open interest to gauge institutional participation and potential expiration-day volatility dampening.
  • Compare historical volatility against implied volatility to judge whether option contracts look overpriced or underpriced.

Dr. Marcus Vance, CFA, CMT

VERIFIED QUANTITATIVE AUTHOR

Chief Market Strategist

Dr. Marcus Vance, CFA, CMT specializes in algorithmic cryptocurrency modeling, orderbook microstructure, and multi-timeframe liquidity sweeps. Every guide undergoes quantitative peer review for mathematical rigor and floor execution realism.

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