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Daily Market Analysis, November 4, 2026

BTC/USD Price Analysis, November 4, 2026: Buyers Defend $76,792 While Alts Pick Sides

• 3 min read • CryptoTradeForecast Research Desk

Start with the number that matters today: the $76,792 floor pivot on BTC/USD. With spot at $77,279 the daily crypto market analysis reads bearish, and bias is mixed: 1 bullish, 3 bearish. What follows is the coin-by-coin breakdown.

What is a floor pivot?

A floor pivot is a price level worked out from the prior session's high, low and close. Traders use it as the day's reference point: price above it tends to favour buyers, price below it favours sellers, and the resistance (R1, R2) and support (S1, S2) levels around it mark likely turning points.

Support and resistance levels at a glance

PairBiasSpotPivotR1R2S1S2Invalidation
BTC/USD Bearish $77,279 $76,792 $77,959 $78,638 $76,112 $74,945 $77,959
ETH/USD Bearish $2,276.93 $2,260.81 $2,298.27 $2,319.61 $2,239.47 $2,202.01 $2,298.27
SOL/USD Bearish $92.21 $91.63 $93.48 $94.74 $90.37 $88.52 $93.48
XRP/USD Bullish $1.2694 $1.2621 $1.2840 $1.2987 $1.2474 $1.2255 $1.2474

BTC/USD support and resistance levels for November 4, 2026

Bitcoin trades at $77,279, 0.6% above its $76,792 pivot. That keeps buyers in charge for now. The model still carries a bearish bias, so treat price holding above the pivot as a test rather than a confirmation. The moving averages disagree, with the 50 EMA at $77,269 and the 200 at $78,515 on opposite sides of price.

Momentum is balanced: 1H RSI reads 51.7. Downside levels to watch: $76,112 and $74,945. Above price, $77,959 and $78,638 are the resistances. The read fails on a close above $77,959.

Ethereum (ETH/USD) ethereum price prediction: price holds above the pivot

At $2,276.93, Ethereum is holding 0.7% over the daily pivot ($2,260.81). Dips toward that line are where buyers have to show up. The model still carries a bearish bias, so treat price holding above the pivot as a test rather than a confirmation. The moving averages disagree, with the 50 EMA at $2,269.74 and the 200 at $2,284.52 on opposite sides of price.

On the hourly chart RSI is 52.9, a balanced reading. Downside levels to watch: $2,239.47 and $2,202.01. Above price, $2,298.27 and $2,319.61 are the resistances. If price closes above $2,298.27, drop the bearish view.

SOL/USD support and resistance levels for November 4, 2026

At $92.21, Solana is holding 0.6% over the daily pivot ($91.63). Dips toward that line are where buyers have to show up. The model still carries a bearish bias, so treat price holding above the pivot as a test rather than a confirmation. Trend filters cut against the pivot: price is beneath the 50 EMA ($92.96) and the 200 ($96.74).

Momentum is balanced: 1H RSI reads 47. The ladder reads $94.74 / $93.48 above and $90.37 / $88.52 below. The read fails on a close above $93.48.

XRP/USD support and resistance levels for November 4, 2026

Spot XRP is 0.6% above the $1.2621 pivot, at $1.2694. The day starts on the buyers' side. The moving averages disagree, with the 50 EMA at $1.2608 and the 200 at $1.2720 on opposite sides of price.

The 1H RSI at 53.7 puts momentum in balanced territory. Upside levels to watch: $1.2840 and $1.2987. Below price, $1.2474 and $1.2255 are the supports. The read fails on a close below $1.2474.

The contrarian case: what could go wrong with today's crypto trading signals

A split tape usually means no new money is committed. Bitcoin's direction tends to settle the argument, so a decisive break in BTC/USD matters more than the lagging coins.

Macro backdrop for crypto market analysis

Outside the chart, the biggest drivers are central bank tone, risk appetite in equities and spot ETF flows. Any of them can move the whole group through a level in minutes.

Bottom line and how to use these levels

Where that leaves us: Bitcoin price analysis points bearish while bias is mixed: 1 bullish, 3 bearish. Respect the stated levels, keep stops outside normal noise, and expect new numbers with the next daily update.

This analysis is educational market commentary built from computed technical levels. It is not investment advice, and crypto assets can lose value quickly. Verify any trade against your own risk limits.

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