Week 40 (Sep 28 to Oct 4, 2026) opens with Bitcoin at $83,322, bearish against a weekly pivot of $83,864, and 1 of the four majors lean bullish and 3 lean bearish. This weekly crypto forecast maps the support and resistance levels for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP and says where each view would break.
What is a floor pivot?
Weekly pivot points compress last week's range into a map for the next one. The pivot is the fulcrum, R1/R2 are the upside hurdles and S1/S2 the downside floors, which makes them natural spots to plan entries, exits and stops.
Support and resistance levels at a glance
| Pair | Bias | Spot | Pivot | R1 | R2 | S1 | S2 | Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | Bearish | $83,322 | $83,864 | $84,527 | $85,724 | $82,668 | $82,005 | $82,255 |
| ETH/USD | Bearish | $2,651.76 | $2,665.54 | $2,689.10 | $2,726.00 | $2,628.64 | $2,605.08 | $2,615.49 |
| SOL/USD | Bullish | $119.84 | $120.71 | $122.01 | $124.19 | $118.53 | $117.23 | $117.93 |
| XRP/USD | Bearish | $1.4920 | $1.5026 | $1.5224 | $1.5528 | $1.4722 | $1.4524 | $1.4648 |
Bitcoin (BTC/USD): bitcoin price analysis for the week
At $83,322, Bitcoin is 0.6% below the weekly pivot ($83,864). The bias for the week is down while that holds. First floor is $82,668 (S1), then $82,005 (S2). A bounce meets resistance at $84,527 (R1) and $85,724 (R2). A weekly close over $82,255 would end this bias.
ETH/USD weekly support and resistance levels, Week 40
At $2,651.76, Ethereum is 0.5% below the weekly pivot ($2,665.54). The bias for the week is down while that holds. First floor is $2,628.64 (S1), then $2,605.08 (S2). A bounce meets resistance at $2,689.10 (R1) and $2,726.00 (R2). A weekly close over $2,615.49 would end this bias.
Solana weekly outlook: pivot support in play
At $119.84, Solana is 0.7% below the weekly pivot ($120.71). The bias for the week is down while that holds. The model's bias is bullish anyway, so use the pivot as a level to watch, not a verdict. First hurdle is $122.01 (R1), then $124.19 (R2). A pullback finds support at $118.53 (S1) and $117.23 (S2). A weekly close under $117.93 would end this bias.
XRP/USD weekly support and resistance levels, Week 40
At $1.4920, XRP is 0.7% below the weekly pivot ($1.5026). The bias for the week is down while that holds. First floor is $1.4722 (S1), then $1.4524 (S2). A bounce meets resistance at $1.5224 (R1) and $1.5528 (R2). A weekly close over $1.4648 would end this bias.
The contrarian view and the risks this week
A split read tells you the market is undecided. Expect range trading until Bitcoin commits one way, and be wary of breakouts in the smaller coins that Bitcoin does not confirm.
Macro drivers for the weekly crypto forecast
The calendar matters as much as the chart: US inflation and jobs data, central bank speakers and ETF flow reports can move Bitcoin through a weekly level in a single session.
Bottom line for Week 40
Net read for Sep 28 to Oct 4, 2026: BTC/USD is bearish versus $83,864, and 1 of the four majors lean bullish and 3 lean bearish. Use the levels as the map, size to the invalidation lines, and recheck once the new weekly pivots print.
This outlook is educational commentary based on computed technical levels, not investment advice. Crypto assets are volatile and losses can be rapid.